Bots
What is risking real money?
Real money first (open tier and dry-NO), then paper strategies (no real orders) and hypothetical results, shown separately. Entry times are Central time (CT); contract dates belong to the station's local day.
Loading the ledgers.
What these numbers mean
- Forecast gap
- Forecast chance of rain minus market price, in points. Forecast 74%, market 47c = a 27-point gap.
- Settlement
- The official end of a contract. Final daily airport rain of 0.01 inch or more pays YES $1 per contract; otherwise NO pays $1.
- Fees
- Exchange charges per order, included in amount spent and subtracted from profit.
- Amount spent
- Buy cost including buy fees.
- Profit
- Sell proceeds or settlement payout, minus sell fees and amount spent. Actual profit counts finished trades.
- ROI
- Profit divided by amount spent on those same finished trades.
- If held (hypothetical)
- The alternative result with no early sale, held to settlement. Never added to actual profit.
- Total spent so far
- Every buy, open or closed. This is not current risk or available cash.
- Open right now
- Amount spent on positions not yet sold or settled; money at risk. Resting buy reservations are not included.
Needs attention
At a glance
What each bot does
Open tier
dry-NO LIVE
Rain lock
Results and details
Rain lock paper history
Experiments (paper only)
Fixed forecast tests and open-ended paper tests use different rules and starting cash. Compare within each group. Since 2:47 PM CT Oct 9, paper runners share a per-minute price feed; live reads its own prices, so observations can differ. REAL-FILL starts at each ledger's recorded restart. It caps simulated capacity; it does not prove exchange execution. Earlier rows are marked pre-REAL-FILL, not a real fill. Totals include earlier history.
Retired (0)
Finished results only; ledgers and strategy pins retained for history.
Capital includes buy fees. As traded includes sell proceeds less sell fees, plus settlement of unsold contracts when the sell is resolved. If held uses the same contracts and capital at settlement. Pending results stay out of each P&L total and its denominator. Settled results follow the bot ledger and the tracker's cached public market results.